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1Division of Geriatrics, Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
2Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Internal Medicine, Eunpyeong St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
3Metabolism-Dementia Institute, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
4Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
5Department of Internal Medicine, National Health Insurance Service Ilsan Hospital, Goyang, Korea
6Division of Geriatrics, Department of Internal Medicine, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
7Digital Clinical Research Department, Korea Institute of Oriental Medicine, Daejeon, Korea
8Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
9Department of Medical Informatics, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
Copyright © 2025 Korean Endocrine Society
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
CONFLICTS OF INTEREST
No potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
This work is supported by the Korean Diabetes Association (KDA) and performed with the KDA Elderly Diabetes Care Task Force team. This research was also supported by a grant from the Patient-Centered Clinical Research Coordinating Center (PACEN) funded by the Ministry of Health and Welfare, Republic of Korea (grant number: HC20C0086), the ‘National Institute of Health’ research project (project No: 2022ER110300) and the Research of Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (grant number: 2022-ER0903-02).
AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS
Conception or design: K.J.K., J.L., H.S.K., B.S.C. Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: K.J.K., J.L., Y.S.P., Y.L., K. H.P., H.W.J., C.O.K., M.Y.P., H.S.K., B.S.C. Drafting the work or revising: K.J.K., J.L., C.O.K., H.S.K., B.S.C. Final approval of the manuscript: K.J.K., J.L., Y.S.P., Y.L., K.H.P., H.W.J., C.O.K., M.Y.P., H.S.K., B.S.C.
Values are expressed as number (%) or mean±standard deviation.
NGT, normal glucose tolerance; IFG, impaired fasting glucose; DM, diabetes mellitus; SBP, systolic blood pressure; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; BMI, body mass index; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; γ-GTP, γ-glutamyl transpeptidase; TC, total cholesterol; MI, myocardial infarction; GB/BT, gall bladder and biliary tract.
HR (95% CI) was adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, smoking status, alcohol consumption, physical activity, and income deciles. Person-years were obtained by summing the follow-up periods (number of days) of individuals and dividing by 365. IR represents the number of events per person-year, calculated by dividing the number of events by person-years and multiplying by 1,000.
DM, diabetes mellitus; IR, incidence rate; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; NGT, normal glucose tolerance; IFG, impaired fasting glucose; CVD, cardiovascular disease.
HR (95% CI) was adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, smoking status, alcohol consumption, physical activity, and income deciles. Person-years were obtained by summing the follow-up periods (number of days) of individuals and dividing by 365. IR represents the number of events per person-year, calculated by dividing the number of events by person-years and multiplying by 1,000.
DM, diabetes mellitus; IR, incidence rate; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; NGT, normal glucose tolerance; IFG, impaired fasting glucose.
Parameter | Total | NGT | IFG | DM | P value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Number | 269,447 (100.0) | 146,618 (54.4) | 72,670 (27.0) | 50,159 (18.6) | |
Male sex | 135,870 (50.4) | 68,864 (47.0) | 38,976 (53.4) | 28,210 (56.2) | <0.001 |
Age, yr | 67.9±2.8 | 67.9±2.9 | 67.8±2.8 | 67.7±2.7 | <0.001 |
SBP, mm Hg | 130±17 | 129±17 | 131±17 | 132±17 | <0.001 |
DBP, mm Hg | 79±11 | 78±11 | 79±10 | 78±10 | <0.001 |
BMI, kg/m2 | 24.1±3.1 | 23.7±3.0 | 24.3±3.0 | 24.7±3.1 | <0.001 |
Waist circumference, cm | 83.3±8.6 | 82.0±8.1 | 84.0±8.1 | 85.8±9.6 | <0.001 |
Smoking | <0.001 | ||||
Current-smoker | 35,985 (13.4) | 18,912 (12.9) | 9,522 (13.1) | 7,551 (15.1) | |
Ex-smoker | 40,340 (15.0) | 18,880 (12.9) | 12,340 (17.0) | 9,120 (18.2) | |
Never-smoker | 187,431 (69.6) | 105,508 (72.0) | 49,363 (67.9) | 32,560 (64.9) | |
No answer | 5,691 (2.1) | 3,318 (2.3) | 1,445 (2.0) | 928 (1.9) | |
Laboratory finding | |||||
Hemoglobin, g/dL | 13.7±1.4 | 13.6±1.4 | 13.9±1.4 | 13.8±1.5 | <0.001 |
AST, U/L | 28±19 | 27±16 | 28±18 | 29±24 | <0.001 |
ALT, U/L | 24±19 | 23±17 | 25±20 | 28±24 | <0.001 |
γ-GTP, U/L | 35±52 | 30±41 | 38±57 | 43±68 | <0.001 |
TC, mg/dL | 196±40 | 197±38 | 200±40 | 188±45 | <0.001 |
Urine positive protein | 7,937 (2.9) | 2,907 (2.0) | 187 (2.6) | 3,163 (6.3) | <0.001 |
Comorbidities | |||||
Hyperlipidemia | 141,881 (52.7) | 68,165 (46.5) | 38,465 (52.9) | 35,251 (70.3) | <0.001 |
Hypertension | 151,285 (56.1) | 72,523 (49.5) | 41,586 (57.2) | 37,176 (74.1) | <0.001 |
Gastric cancer | 5,872 (2.2) | 3,035 (2.1) | 1,563 (2.2) | 1,274 (2.5) | <0.001 |
Heart failure | 17,457 (6.5) | 8,274 (5.6) | 4,613 (6.3) | 4,570 (9.1) | <0.001 |
Lung cancer | 4,473 (1.7) | 2,296 (1.6) | 1,215 (1.7) | 962 (1.9) | <0.001 |
Colorectal cancer | 7,445 (2.8) | 3,688 (2.5) | 2,041 (2.8) | 1,716 (3.4) | <0.001 |
MI | 9,941 (3.7) | 4,516 (3.1) | 2,509 (3.5) | 2,916 (5.8) | <0.001 |
Stroke | 1,587 (0.6) | 665 (0.5) | 419 (0.6) | 503 (1.0) | <0.001 |
GB/BT cancer | 1,106 (0.4) | 517 (0.4) | 292 (0.4) | 297 (0.6) | <0.001 |
Thyroid cancer | 3,235 (1.2) | 1,705 (1.2) | 923 (1.3) | 607 (1.2) | 0.093 |
Liver cancer | 7,581 (2.8) | 3,515 (2.4) | 2,082 (2.9) | 1,984 (4.0) | <0.001 |
Kidney cancer | 1,071 (0.4) | 528 (0.4) | 284 (0.4) | 259 (0.5) | <0.001 |
Pancreatic cancer | 3,725 (1.4) | 1,712 (1.2) | 954 (1.3) | 1,059 (2.1) | <0.001 |
Regular exercise | <0.001 | ||||
No | 148,400 (55.1) | 82,861 (56.5) | 39,054 (53.7) | 26,485 (52.8) | |
Yes | 117,389 (43.6) | 61,405 (41.9) | 32,819 (45.2) | 23,165 (46.2) | |
No answer | 3,658 (1.4) | 2,352 (1.6) | 797 (1.1) | 509 (1.0) | |
Alcohol | <0.001 | ||||
Heavy drinker | 11,186 (4.2) | 5,182 (3.5) | 3,574 (4.9) | 2,430 (4.8) | |
Mild | 74,514 (27.7) | 37,495 (25.6) | 22,336 (30.7) | 14,683 (29.3) | |
None | 183,747 (68.2) | 103,941 (70.9) | 46,760 (64.3) | 33,046 (65.9) |
Variable | Category | Number | Events | Person-year | IR | Unadjusted HR model (95% CI) | P value | Adjusted HR model (95% CI) | P value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
All-cause mortality | |||||||||
Total | NGT | 146,618 | 27,358 | 1,260,976 | 21.70 | Ref | Ref | ||
IFG | 72,670 | 12,069 | 548,469 | 22.00 | 1.06 (1.04–1.09) | <0.001 | 1.08 (1.05–1.10) | <0.001 | |
DM | 50,159 | 9,890 | 342,531 | 28.87 | 1.50 (1.46–1.53) | <0.001 | 1.59 (1.55–1.62) | <0.001 | |
Male | NGT | 68,864 | 16,414 | 569,391 | 28.83 | Ref | Ref | ||
IFG | 38,796 | 7,446 | 275,973 | 26.98 | 0.99 (0.96–1.02) | 0.470 | 1.07 (1.04–1.10) | <0.001 | |
DM | 28,210 | 5,945 | 177,135 | 33.56 | 1.32 (1.28–1.36) | <0.001 | 1.51 (1.46–1.56) | <0.001 | |
Female | NGT | 77,754 | 10,944 | 691,585 | 15.82 | Ref | Ref | ||
IFG | 33,874 | 4,623 | 272,496 | 16.97 | 1.11 (1.07–1.15) | <0.001 | 1.08 (1.04–1.11) | <0.001 | |
DM | 21,949 | 3,945 | 165,396 | 23.85 | 1.67 (1.61–1.74) | <0.001 | 1.69 (1.63–1.76) | <0.001 | |
Cancer-related mortality | |||||||||
Total | NGT | 146,618 | 8,912 | 1,372,844 | 6.49 | Ref | Ref | ||
IFG | 72,670 | 3,960 | 598,046 | 6.62 | 1.04 (1.00–1.08) | <0.050 | 1.04 (1.00–1.08) | 1.000 | |
DM | 50,159 | 2,875 | 386,400 | 7.44 | 1.19 (1.14–1.24) | <0.001 | 1.23 (1.18–1.29) | <0.001 | |
Male | NGT | 68,864 | 6,238 | 634,251 | 9.84 | Ref | Ref | ||
IFG | 38,796 | 2,832 | 305,043 | 9.28 | 0.97 (0.93–1.01) | 0.170 | 1.02 (0.98–1.07) | 0.340 | |
DM | 28,210 | 2,042 | 201,942 | 10.11 | 1.08 (1.02–1.13) | <0.001 | 1.20 (1.14–1.26) | <0.001 | |
Female | NGT | 77,754 | 2,674 | 738,593 | 3.62 | Ref | Ref | ||
IFG | 33,874 | 1,128 | 293,002 | 3.85 | 1.08 (1.01–1.16) | 0.020 | 1.08 (1.00–1.15) | <0.050 | |
DM | 21,949 | 833 | 184,458 | 4.52 | 1.29 (1.19–1.39) | <0.001 | 1.33 (1.23–1.44) | <0.001 | |
CVD-related mortality | |||||||||
Total | NGT | 146,618 | 6,321 | 1,393,928 | 4.53 | Ref | Ref | ||
IFG | 72,670 | 2,738 | 607,530 | 4.51 | 1.03 (0.99–1.08) | 0.160 | 1.02 (0.98–1.07) | 0.370 | |
DM | 50,159 | 2,167 | 391,525 | 5.53 | 1.31 (1.25–1.38) | <0.001 | 1.27 (1.26–1.34) | <0.001 | |
Male | NGT | 68,864 | 3,132 | 657,732 | 4.76 | Ref | Ref | ||
IFG | 38,796 | 1,439 | 315,221 | 4.57 | 1.00 (0.94–1.07) | 0.940 | 1.03 (0.96–1.09) | 0.420 | |
DM | 28,210 | 1,144 | 208,064 | 5.50 | 1.25 (1.17–1.34) | <0.001 | 1.25 (1.17–1.34) | <0.001 | |
Female | NGT | 77,754 | 3,189 | 736,196 | 4.33 | Ref | Ref | ||
IFG | 33,874 | 1,299 | 292,309 | 4.44 | 1.05 (0.99–1.12) | 0.120 | 1.00 (0.94–1.07) | 0.970 | |
DM | 21,949 | 1,023 | 183,461 | 5.58 | 1.36 (1.27–1.46) | <0.001 | 1.28 (1.19–1.37) | <0.001 |
Variable | Category | Number | Events | Person-year | IR | Unadjusted HR model (95% CI) | P value | Adjusted HR model (95% CI) | P value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Myocardial infarction | |||||||||
Total | NGT | 142,102 | 11,041 | 1,330,645 | 8.30 | Ref | Ref | ||
IFG | 70,161 | 4,832 | 578,636 | 8.35 | 1.01 (0.98–1.05) | 0.400 | 0.98 (0.94–1.01) | 0.210 | |
DM | 47,243 | 4,081 | 362,259 | 11.27 | 1.38 (1.33–1.43) | <0.001 | 1.25 (1.20–1.30) | <0.001 | |
Male | NGT | 66,440 | 5,298 | 625,646 | 8.47 | Ref | Ref | ||
IFG | 37,271 | 2,555 | 298,557 | 8.56 | 1.02 (0.97–1.07) | 0.480 | 0.99 (0.93–1.05) | 0.690 | |
DM | 26,336 | 2,093 | 191,753 | 10.92 | 1.30 (1.24–1.37) | <0.001 | 1.20 (1.14–1.27) | <0.001 | |
Female | NGT | 75,662 | 5,743 | 704,999 | 8.15 | Ref | Ref | ||
IFG | 32,890 | 2,277 | 280,079 | 8.13 | 1.00 (0.96–1.05) | 0.840 | 0.96 (0.91–1.02) | 0.160 | |
DM | 20,907 | 1,988 | 170,506 | 11.66 | 1.45 (1.38–1.53) | <0.001 | 1.30 (1.23–1.37) | <0.001 | |
Stroke | |||||||||
Total | NGT | 133,893 | 27,879 | 1,118,501 | 24.93 | Ref | Ref | ||
IFG | 65,810 | 11,952 | 486,460 | 24.57 | 0.99 (0.97–1.01) | 0.370 | 0.99 (0.96–1.01) | 0.280 | |
DM | 42,901 | 8,930 | 290,306 | 30.76 | 1.24 (1.22–1.27) | <0.001 | 1.19 (1.16–1.22) | <0.001 | |
Male | NGT | 63,110 | 12,725 | 533,464 | 23.85 | Ref | Ref | ||
IFG | 35,298 | 6,020 | 255,824 | 23.53 | 0.99 (0.96–1.02) | 0.550 | 0.99 (0.95–1.03) | 0.590 | |
DM | 24,295 | 4,542 | 157,142 | 28.90 | 1.22 (1.18–1.26) | <0.001 | 1.18 (1.14–1.23) | <0.001 | |
Female | NGT | 70,783 | 15,154 | 585,036 | 25.90 | Ref | Ref | ||
IFG | 30,512 | 5,932 | 230,636 | 25.72 | 1.00 (0.97–1.03) | 0.850 | 0.98 (0.95–1.02) | 0.340 | |
DM | 18,606 | 4,388 | 133,165 | 32.95 | 1.28 (1.24–1.32) | <0.001 | 1.19 (1.15–1.24) | <0.001 | |
Heart failure | |||||||||
Total | NGT | 138,344 | 27,005 | 1,215,605 | 22.22 | Ref | Ref | ||
IFG | 68,057 | 11,908 | 528,405 | 22.54 | 1.03 (1.01–1.05) | <0.050 | 0.98 (0.95–1.00) | 0.050 | |
DM | 45,589 | 8,694 | 331,788 | 26.20 | 1.21 (1.18–1.24) | <0.001 | 1.05 (1.02–1.08) | <0.001 | |
Male | NGT | 65,490 | 12,202 | 588,910 | 20.72 | Ref | Ref | ||
IFG | 36,604 | 5,955 | 281,285 | 21.17 | 1.04 (1.01–1.08) | <0.050 | 0.98 (0.95–1.02) | 0.420 | |
DM | 25,882 | 4,534 | 180,926 | 25.06 | 1.26 (1.21–1.30) | <0.001 | 1.06 (1.02–1.10) | <0.050 | |
Female | NGT | 72,854 | 14,803 | 626,695 | 23.62 | Ref | Ref | ||
IFG | 31,453 | 5,953 | 247,120 | 24.09 | 1.03 (1.00–1.06) | 0.060 | 0.97 (0.93–1.00) | 0.050 | |
DM | 19,707 | 4,160 | 150,863 | 27.57 | 1.19 (1.15–1.23) | <0.001 | 1.04 (1.00–1.08) | 0.060 |
Values are expressed as number (%) or mean±standard deviation. NGT, normal glucose tolerance; IFG, impaired fasting glucose; DM, diabetes mellitus; SBP, systolic blood pressure; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; BMI, body mass index; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; γ-GTP, γ-glutamyl transpeptidase; TC, total cholesterol; MI, myocardial infarction; GB/BT, gall bladder and biliary tract.
HR (95% CI) was adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, smoking status, alcohol consumption, physical activity, and income deciles. Person-years were obtained by summing the follow-up periods (number of days) of individuals and dividing by 365. IR represents the number of events per person-year, calculated by dividing the number of events by person-years and multiplying by 1,000. DM, diabetes mellitus; IR, incidence rate; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; NGT, normal glucose tolerance; IFG, impaired fasting glucose; CVD, cardiovascular disease.
HR (95% CI) was adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, smoking status, alcohol consumption, physical activity, and income deciles. Person-years were obtained by summing the follow-up periods (number of days) of individuals and dividing by 365. IR represents the number of events per person-year, calculated by dividing the number of events by person-years and multiplying by 1,000. DM, diabetes mellitus; IR, incidence rate; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; NGT, normal glucose tolerance; IFG, impaired fasting glucose.