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1Department of Surgery, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
2Department of Radiology, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
3Department of Hospital Pathology, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
4Cancer Research Institute, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
Copyright © 2022 Korean Endocrine Society
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
CONFLICTS OF INTEREST
No potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported.
AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS
Conception or design: C.K.J. Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: K.K., J.S.B., J.S.K., S.L.J., C.K.J. Drafting the work or revising: K.K., J.S.B., J.S.K., S.L.J., C.K.J. Final approval of the manuscript: K.K., J.S.B., J.S.K., S.L.J., C.K.J.
Characteristic | CNB (n=1,381) | FNA (n=2,223) | P value |
---|---|---|---|
Age, yr | 47.1±13.7 | 48.9±16.2 | 0.534 |
|
|||
Sex | 0.477 | ||
Female | 1,045 (75.7) | 1,658 (74.6) | |
Male | 336 (24.3) | 565 (25.4) | |
|
|||
Diagnostic category | |||
I | 39 (2.8) | 250 (11.2) | <0.001 |
II | 841 (60.9) | 1,121 (50.4) | <0.001 |
III | 17 (1.2) | 138 (6.2) | <0.001 |
IV | 241 (17.5) | 45 (2.0) | <0.001 |
V | 7 (0.5) | 68 (3.1) | <0.001 |
VI | 236 (17.1) | 601 (27.0) | <0.001 |
|
|||
Histologically confirmed cases | 429 (31.1) | 666 (30.0) | 0.557 |
|
|||
Histologic diagnosis | |||
FA/HA | 70 (16.3) | 27 (4.1) | <0.001 |
Other benign lesions | 32 (7.5) | 76 (11.4) | 0.042 |
NIFTP | 15 (3.5) | 7 (1.1) | 0.005 |
PTC | 244 (56.9) | 539 (80.9) | <0.001 |
FTC/HCC | 32 (7.5) | 9 (1.4) | <0.001 |
PDTC/ATC | 9 (2.1) | 2 (0.3) | 0.004 |
MTC | 3 (0.7) | 3 (0.5) | 0.587 |
Lymphoma | 18 (4.2) | 0 | <0.001 |
Other malignancy | 6 (1.4) | 3 (0.5) | 0.091 |
|
|||
Nodule size of histologically confirmed cases, cma | |||
Mean | 2.0±1.5 | 1.1±0.8 | <0.001 |
≤1.0 | 111 (25.9) | 428 (64.3) | <0.001 |
1.1–2.0 | 143 (33.3) | 177 (26.6) | 0.045 |
2.1–3.0 | 101 (23.5) | 38 (5.7) | <0.001 |
>3.0 | 74 (17.3) | 23 (3.4) | <0.001 |
Values are expressed as mean±standard deviation or number (%).
CNB, core needle biopsy; FNA, fine needle aspiration; FA, follicular adenoma; HA, Hürthle cell adenoma; NIFTP, noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear feature; PTC, papillary thyroid carcinoma; FTC, follicular thyroid carcinoma; HCC, Hürthle cell carcinoma; PDTC, poorly differentiated thyroid carcinoma; ATC, anaplastic thyroid carcinoma; MTC, medullary thyroid carcinoma.
a The nodule size was determined as the largest diameter measured in the surgical specimen, but if surgery was not performed, it was measured by ultrasound.
Values are expressed as number (%). The upper bound of the ROM was calculated by having all resected cases as denominator. The malignant cases (category VI) diagnosed by CNB were considered as histologically confirmed cases. The lower bound of ROM was calculated by having the total number of CNB cases as denominator.
CNB, core needle biopsy; NIFTP, noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear feature; ROM, risk of malignancy; NA, not available.
Values are expressed as number (%). The upper bound of the ROM was calculated by having all resected cases as denominator. The lower bound of ROM was calculated by having the total number of FNA cases as denominator.
FNA, fine needle aspiration; NIFTP, noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear feature; ROM, risk of malignancy; NA, not available.
Outcomes | CNB (n=429) | FNA (n=666) | P value | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|||
Analysis 1a | Malignant | Benign+NIFTP | Malignant | Benign+NIFTP | |
Category V–VI | 240 | 0 | 489 | 1 | |
Category I–IV | 72 | 117 | 67 | 109 | |
Diagnostic performance | Incidence | 95% CI | Incidence | 95% CI | |
Disease prevalence | 55.9% | 49.1–63.5 | 73.4% | 67.1–80.0 | <0.001 |
Sensitivity | 76.9% | 71.8–81.5 | 88.0% | 85.0–90.5 | 0.089 |
Specificity | 100% | 96.9–100.0 | 99.1% | 95.0–100.0 | 0.945 |
PPV | 100% | 100.0 | 99.8% | 98.6–100.0 | 0.979 |
NPV | 61.9% | 57.0–66.6 | 61.9% | 56.5–67.1 | 0.997 |
Accuracy | 83.2% | 79.3–86.6 | 89.8% | 87.2–92.0 | 0.256 |
|
|||||
Analysis 2b | Malignant+NIFTP | Benign | Malignant+NIFTP | Benign | P value |
|
|||||
Category IV–VI | 318 | 70 | 506 | 13 | |
Category I–III | 9 | 32 | 57 | 90 | |
Diagnostic performance | Incidence | 95% CI | Incidence | 95% CI | |
Disease prevalence | 76.2% | 68.2–85.0 | 84.5% | 77.7–91.8 | 0.137 |
Sensitivity | 97.2% | 94.8–98.7 | 89.9% | 87.1–92.2 | 0.271 |
Specificity | 31.4% | 22.5–41.3 | 87.4% | 79.4–93.1 | <0.001 |
PPV | 82.0% | 79.9–80.2 | 97.5% | 95.9–98.5 | 0.015 |
NPV | 78.0% | 63.7–87.8 | 61.2 | 55.0–67.1 | 0.237 |
Accuracy | 81.6% | 77.6–85.1 | 89.5% | 86.9–91.7 | 0.170 |
|
|||||
Analysis 3c | Neoplastic (surgical disease) | Non-neoplastic | Neoplastic (surgical disease) | Non-neoplastic | P value |
|
|||||
Category IV–VI | 381 | 7 | 517 | 2 | |
Category I–III | 16 | 25 | 78 | 69 | |
Diagnostic performance | Incidence | 95% CI | Incidence | 95% CI | |
Disease prevalence | 88.8% | 80.1–98.2 | 77.6% | 71.1–84.6 | 0.046 |
Sensitivity | 96.0% | 93.5–97.7 | 86.9% | 83.9–89.5 | 0.141 |
Specificity | 78.1% | 60.0–90.7 | 97.2% | 90.2–99.7 | 0.349 |
PPV | 98.2% | 96.6–99.1 | 99.6% | 98.5–99.9 | 0.832 |
NPV | 61.0% | 48.3–72.3 | 46.9% | 41.7–52.2 | 0.261 |
Accuracy | 94.6% | 92.1–96.6 | 88.0% | 85.3–90.4 | 0.259 |
NIFTP, noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear feature; CNB, core needle biopsy; FNA, fine needle biopsy; CI, confidence interval; PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value.
a Categories V and VI were considered diagnostic-positive results for malignancy. Diagnostic performance was evaluated for the differentiating malignancy from nonmalignant lesions including NIFTP;
b Categories IV, V and VI were considered diagnostic-positive results for malignancy and NIFTP. Diagnostic performance was evaluated for the differentiating malignancy and NIFTP from benign lesions;
c Categories IV, V and VI were considered diagnostic-positive results for surgical diseases. Diagnostic performance was evaluated for the differentiating surgical diseases (neoplasms) from non-neoplastic lesions.
Characteristic | CNB (n=1,381) | FNA (n=2,223) | P value |
---|---|---|---|
Age, yr | 47.1±13.7 | 48.9±16.2 | 0.534 |
| |||
Sex | 0.477 | ||
Female | 1,045 (75.7) | 1,658 (74.6) | |
Male | 336 (24.3) | 565 (25.4) | |
| |||
Diagnostic category | |||
I | 39 (2.8) | 250 (11.2) | <0.001 |
II | 841 (60.9) | 1,121 (50.4) | <0.001 |
III | 17 (1.2) | 138 (6.2) | <0.001 |
IV | 241 (17.5) | 45 (2.0) | <0.001 |
V | 7 (0.5) | 68 (3.1) | <0.001 |
VI | 236 (17.1) | 601 (27.0) | <0.001 |
| |||
Histologically confirmed cases | 429 (31.1) | 666 (30.0) | 0.557 |
| |||
Histologic diagnosis | |||
FA/HA | 70 (16.3) | 27 (4.1) | <0.001 |
Other benign lesions | 32 (7.5) | 76 (11.4) | 0.042 |
NIFTP | 15 (3.5) | 7 (1.1) | 0.005 |
PTC | 244 (56.9) | 539 (80.9) | <0.001 |
FTC/HCC | 32 (7.5) | 9 (1.4) | <0.001 |
PDTC/ATC | 9 (2.1) | 2 (0.3) | 0.004 |
MTC | 3 (0.7) | 3 (0.5) | 0.587 |
Lymphoma | 18 (4.2) | 0 | <0.001 |
Other malignancy | 6 (1.4) | 3 (0.5) | 0.091 |
| |||
Nodule size of histologically confirmed cases, cm |
|||
Mean | 2.0±1.5 | 1.1±0.8 | <0.001 |
≤1.0 | 111 (25.9) | 428 (64.3) | <0.001 |
1.1–2.0 | 143 (33.3) | 177 (26.6) | 0.045 |
2.1–3.0 | 101 (23.5) | 38 (5.7) | <0.001 |
>3.0 | 74 (17.3) | 23 (3.4) | <0.001 |
CNB category | No. | Histologic confirmation | Benign | NIFTP | Malignant | ROM without NIFTP, % | ROM with NIFTP, % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
I | 39 | 9 (23.1) | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13–56 | 13–56 |
| |||||||
II | 841 | 28 (3.3) | 25 | 1 | 2 | 0.2–7.1 | 0.4–10.7 |
| |||||||
III | 17 | 4 (24) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6–25 | 6–25 |
IIIa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA |
IIIb | 6 | 3 (50) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17–33 | 17–33 |
IIIc | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
IIId | 3 | 1 (33) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
IIIe | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA |
| |||||||
IV | 241 | 148 (61.4) | 70 | 14 | 64 | 26.6–43.2 | 32.4–52.7 |
IVa | 144 | 91 (63.2) | 51 | 7 | 33 | 22.9–36.3 | 27.8–44.0 |
IVb | 57 | 37 (65) | 8 | 6 | 23 | 40–62 | 51–78 |
IVc | 39 | 19 (49) | 11 | 1 | 7 | 18–37 | 21–42 |
IVd | 1 | 1 (100) | 0 | 0 | 1 | 100 | 100 |
| |||||||
V | 7 | 4 (57) | 0 | 0 | 4 | 57–100 | 57–100 |
| |||||||
VI | 236 | 236 (100) | 0 | 0 | 236 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| |||||||
Total | 1,381 | 429 (31.1) | 102 | 15 | 312 | 22.6–72.7 | 23.7–76.2 |
FNA category | No. | Histologically confirmed cases | Benign | NIFTP | Malignant | ROM without NIFTP, % | ROM with NIFTP, % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
I | 250 | 27 (10.8) | 11 | 0 | 16 | 6.4–59.3 | 6.4–59.3 |
| |||||||
II | 1,121 | 72 (6.4) | 67 | 0 | 5 | 0.4–6.9 | 0.4–6.9 |
| |||||||
III | 138 | 48 (34.8) | 12 | 2 | 34 | 24.6–70.8 | 26.1–75.0 |
IIIa | 80 | 31 (35) | 2 | 1 | 28 | 35–90 | 36–94 |
IIIb | 22 | 10 (46) | 8 | 0 | 2 | 9–20 | 9–20 |
IIIc | 16 | 5 (31) | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25–80 | 25–80 |
IIId | 20 | 2 (10) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5–50 |
IIIe | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| |||||||
IV | 45 | 29 (64) | 13 | 4 | 12 | 27–41 | 36–55 |
IVa | 16 | 10 (63) | 5 | 0 | 5 | 31–50 | 31–50 |
IVb | 13 | 8 (62) | 3 | 2 | 3 | 23–36 | 39–63 |
IVc | 16 | 11 (69) | 5 | 2 | 4 | 25–36 | 38–55 |
IVd | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| |||||||
V | 68 | 48 (71) | 0 | 1 | 47 | 69–98 | 71–100 |
| |||||||
VI | 601 | 442 (73.5) | 0 | 0 | 442 | 73.5–100 | 73.5–100 |
| |||||||
Total | 2,223 | 666 (30.0) | 103 | 7 | 556 | 25.0–83.5 | 25.3–84.5 |
Outcomes | CNB (n=429) | FNA (n=666) | P value | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
| |||
Analysis 1 |
Malignant | Benign+NIFTP | Malignant | Benign+NIFTP | |
Category V–VI | 240 | 0 | 489 | 1 | |
Category I–IV | 72 | 117 | 67 | 109 | |
Diagnostic performance | Incidence | 95% CI | Incidence | 95% CI | |
Disease prevalence | 55.9% | 49.1–63.5 | 73.4% | 67.1–80.0 | <0.001 |
Sensitivity | 76.9% | 71.8–81.5 | 88.0% | 85.0–90.5 | 0.089 |
Specificity | 100% | 96.9–100.0 | 99.1% | 95.0–100.0 | 0.945 |
PPV | 100% | 100.0 | 99.8% | 98.6–100.0 | 0.979 |
NPV | 61.9% | 57.0–66.6 | 61.9% | 56.5–67.1 | 0.997 |
Accuracy | 83.2% | 79.3–86.6 | 89.8% | 87.2–92.0 | 0.256 |
| |||||
Analysis 2 |
Malignant+NIFTP | Benign | Malignant+NIFTP | Benign | P value |
| |||||
Category IV–VI | 318 | 70 | 506 | 13 | |
Category I–III | 9 | 32 | 57 | 90 | |
Diagnostic performance | Incidence | 95% CI | Incidence | 95% CI | |
Disease prevalence | 76.2% | 68.2–85.0 | 84.5% | 77.7–91.8 | 0.137 |
Sensitivity | 97.2% | 94.8–98.7 | 89.9% | 87.1–92.2 | 0.271 |
Specificity | 31.4% | 22.5–41.3 | 87.4% | 79.4–93.1 | <0.001 |
PPV | 82.0% | 79.9–80.2 | 97.5% | 95.9–98.5 | 0.015 |
NPV | 78.0% | 63.7–87.8 | 61.2 | 55.0–67.1 | 0.237 |
Accuracy | 81.6% | 77.6–85.1 | 89.5% | 86.9–91.7 | 0.170 |
| |||||
Analysis 3 |
Neoplastic (surgical disease) | Non-neoplastic | Neoplastic (surgical disease) | Non-neoplastic | P value |
| |||||
Category IV–VI | 381 | 7 | 517 | 2 | |
Category I–III | 16 | 25 | 78 | 69 | |
Diagnostic performance | Incidence | 95% CI | Incidence | 95% CI | |
Disease prevalence | 88.8% | 80.1–98.2 | 77.6% | 71.1–84.6 | 0.046 |
Sensitivity | 96.0% | 93.5–97.7 | 86.9% | 83.9–89.5 | 0.141 |
Specificity | 78.1% | 60.0–90.7 | 97.2% | 90.2–99.7 | 0.349 |
PPV | 98.2% | 96.6–99.1 | 99.6% | 98.5–99.9 | 0.832 |
NPV | 61.0% | 48.3–72.3 | 46.9% | 41.7–52.2 | 0.261 |
Accuracy | 94.6% | 92.1–96.6 | 88.0% | 85.3–90.4 | 0.259 |
Values are expressed as mean±standard deviation or number (%). CNB, core needle biopsy; FNA, fine needle aspiration; FA, follicular adenoma; HA, Hürthle cell adenoma; NIFTP, noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear feature; PTC, papillary thyroid carcinoma; FTC, follicular thyroid carcinoma; HCC, Hürthle cell carcinoma; PDTC, poorly differentiated thyroid carcinoma; ATC, anaplastic thyroid carcinoma; MTC, medullary thyroid carcinoma. The nodule size was determined as the largest diameter measured in the surgical specimen, but if surgery was not performed, it was measured by ultrasound.
Values are expressed as number (%). The upper bound of the ROM was calculated by having all resected cases as denominator. The malignant cases (category VI) diagnosed by CNB were considered as histologically confirmed cases. The lower bound of ROM was calculated by having the total number of CNB cases as denominator. CNB, core needle biopsy; NIFTP, noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear feature; ROM, risk of malignancy; NA, not available.
Values are expressed as number (%). The upper bound of the ROM was calculated by having all resected cases as denominator. The lower bound of ROM was calculated by having the total number of FNA cases as denominator. FNA, fine needle aspiration; NIFTP, noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear feature; ROM, risk of malignancy; NA, not available.
NIFTP, noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear feature; CNB, core needle biopsy; FNA, fine needle biopsy; CI, confidence interval; PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value. Categories V and VI were considered diagnostic-positive results for malignancy. Diagnostic performance was evaluated for the differentiating malignancy from nonmalignant lesions including NIFTP; Categories IV, V and VI were considered diagnostic-positive results for malignancy and NIFTP. Diagnostic performance was evaluated for the differentiating malignancy and NIFTP from benign lesions; Categories IV, V and VI were considered diagnostic-positive results for surgical diseases. Diagnostic performance was evaluated for the differentiating surgical diseases (neoplasms) from non-neoplastic lesions.