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1Epidemiologic Research and Information Center, VA Puget Sound Health Care System, Seattle, WA, USA
2Department of Medicine, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle, WA, USA
3Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Internal Medicine, National Health Insurance Service Ilsan Hospital, Goyang, Korea
4Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Medicine, Kyung Hee University Hospital at Gangdong, Kyung Hee University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
5Department of Neurology, Jeonbuk National University Medical School, Jeonju, Korea
6Hospital and Specialty Medicine Service, VA Puget Sound Health Care System, Seattle, WA, USA
7Division of Metabolism, Endocrinology and Nutrition, Department of Medicine, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle, WA, USA
8Department of Anthropology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
Copyright © 2021 Korean Endocrine Society
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
CONFLICTS OF INTEREST
No potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported.
AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS
Conception or design: S.O.S., W.Y.F., E.J.B. Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: S.O.S., Y.C.H., H.U.R., D.L.L., W.Y.F., E.J.B. Drafting the work or revising: S.O.S., H.U.R., S.E.K., W.Y.F., E.J.B. Final approval of the manuscript: S.O.S., Y.C.H., S.E.K., W.Y.F., E.J.B.
Characteristic | Total (n=397) | Male (n=207) | Female (n=190) |
---|---|---|---|
Baseline | |||
Age, yr | 51.1±11.8 | 51.1±11.8 | 51.1±11.8 |
Family history of diabetes | 135 (34.0) | 62 (30.0) | 73 (38.4) |
Body mass index, kg/m2 | 24.1±3.2 | 25.1±2.8 | 22.9±3.1 |
Abdominal circumference, cm | 85.5±8.6 | 87.6±7.7 | 83.3±9.0 |
Alcohol consumption, g/day | 5.2±11.1 | 8.1±13.7 | 2.0±5.6 |
Current smoking | 56 (14.1) | 32 (15.5) | 24 (12.6) |
Physical activity, kcal/week | 2,751.2±1,941.2 | 3,034.3±2,196.1 | 2,421.8±1,535.7 |
Systolic blood pressure, mm Hg | 127.2±17.3 | 130.4±17.4 | 123.7±16.5 |
Diastolic blood pressure, mm Hg | 76.2±9.4 | 78.6±8.9 | 73.6±9.3 |
Baseline fasting glucose, mg/dL | 92.5±10.1 | 94.9±10.6 | 89.7±8.8 |
Baseline 2-hour OGTT glucose, mg/dL | 126.6±29.5 | 126.5±31.0 | 126.7±27.9 |
Fasting plasma insulin, mU/mL | 13.4±8.1 | 12.3±6.7 | 14.6±9.2 |
HOMA-IR | 3.0±1.7 | 2.9±1.7 | 3.2±1.8 |
Total cholesterol, mg/dL | 223.7±41.4 | 227.2±42.0 | 219.9±40.4 |
Triglyceride, mg/dL | 134.2±104.0 | 153.4±113.9 | 113.4±87.6 |
LDL-C, mg/dL | 139.0±36.6 | 145.7±38.0 | 131.7±33.5 |
HDL-C, mg/dL | 58.5±16.7 | 51.6±13.0 | 66.0±17.0 |
Baseline IAF, cm2 | 78.3±46.7 | 91.9±48.4 | 63.1±39.5 |
Baseline abdominal SCF, cm2 | 156.5±77.3 | 136.7±66.2 | 178.5±82.9 |
Baseline thigh SCF, cm2 | 65.0±31.5 | 46.0±18.2 | 86.3±29.5 |
| |||
Follow-up at 5 years | |||
Body mass index, kg/m2 | 24.7±3.4 | 25.4±3.0 | 23.8±3.6 |
Abdominal circumference, cm | 89.4±47.1 | 89.3±7.9 | 89.5±67.9 |
Baseline fasting glucose, mg/dL | 97.0±8.6 | 97.4±8.8 | 96.5±8.4 |
Baseline 2-hour OGTT glucose, mg/dL | 138.6±29.0 | 133.4±28.4 | 144.2±28.7 |
Fasting plasma insulin, mU/mL | 15.5±9.1 | 16.7±10.3 | 14.3±7.4 |
HOMA-IR | 3.8±2.3 | 4.0±2.6 | 3.5±2.0 |
Total cholesterol, mg/dL | 212.9±36.0 | 215.2±34.7 | 210.4±37.2 |
Triglyceride, mg/dL | 144.4±106.9 | 152.5±110.0 | 135.6±103.0 |
LDL-C, mg/dL | 129.7±35.9 | 136.5±34.8 | 122.4±35.6 |
HDL-C, mg/dL | 55.0±15.7 | 49.9±12.9 | 60.5±16.6 |
IAF, cm2 | 87.6±44.6 | 98.4±45.1 | 75.6±41.0 |
Abdominal SCF, cm2 | 174.7±86.7 | 150.8±71.6 | 201.4±94.2 |
Thigh SCF, cm2 | 65.8±36.0 | 43.7±17.5 | 90.9±35.0 |
Change in IAF from baseline to 5 years | Coefficient | 95% CI | P value |
---|---|---|---|
Age | −0.46364 | −0.69859 to −0.22868 | <0.001 |
Female | 4.63139 | −1.01088 to 10.27365 | 0.107 |
Family history of diabetes | −1.20698 | −7.14613 to 4.73217 | 0.690 |
Body mass index | −0.78305 | −1.65870 to 0.09260 | 0.080 |
Alcohol consumption | −0.05434 | −0.31142 to 0.20274 | 0.678 |
Physical activity | −0.00004 | −0.00150 to 0.00141 | 0.955 |
Current smoker | −1.52412 | −10.10930 to 7.06107 | 0.727 |
Baseline IAF | −0.20951 | −0.26483 to −0.15419 | <0.001 |
Baseline abdominal SCF | −0.01043 | −0.04665 to 0.02580 | 0.572 |
Baseline thigh SCF | 0.09064 | 0.00173 to 0.17956 | 0.046 |
Change in body weight from baseline to 5 years | 4.15054 | 3.46111 to 4.83997 | <0.001 |
Baseline fasting OGTT BLG | −4.32146 | −9.37317 to 0.73025 | 0.093 |
Baseline 2-hour OGTT BLG | −0.59917 | −2.29298 to 1.09463 | 0.487 |
Total cholesterol | −1.53935 | −4.20926 to 1.13057 | 0.258 |
Triglyceride | −1.12349 | −3.53585 to 1.28887 | 0.360 |
LDL-C | −1.29330 | −4.29901 to 1.71241 | 0.398 |
HDL-C | 2.64755 | −3.90249 to 9.19759 | 0.427 |
Baseline fasting insulin | −0.00926 | −0.06911 to 0.05058 | 0.761 |
HOMA-IR | −0.31140 | −1.96898 to 1.34617 | 0.712 |
Model | HDL-C coefficient | P value |
---|---|---|
HDL-C | 2.64755 | 0.427 |
HDL-C, Age | 2.02412 | 0.537 |
HDL-C, Female | 0.33474 | 0.928 |
HDL-C, Family history | 2.58178 | 0.440 |
HDL-C, Body mass index | 0.22131 | 0.952 |
HDL-C, Alcohol | 2.81306 | 0.402 |
HDL-C, Physical activity | 2.66800 | 0.425 |
HDL-C, Current smoking | 2.73997 | 0.426 |
HDL-C, Baseline IAF | −11.34154 | 0.001 |
HDL-C, Baseline abdominal SCF | 2.46807 | 0.462 |
HDL-C, Baseline thigh SCF | 1.24987 | 0.714 |
HDL-C, Weight change for 5 years | −1.10593 | 0.702 |
HDL-C, Fasting glucose | 1.34272 | 0.696 |
HDL-C, Postprandial glucose | 2.53154 | 0.449 |
HDL-C, Total cholesterol | 2.76191 | 0.408 |
HDL-C, Triglyceride | 1.58845 | 0.672 |
HDL-C, LDL-C | 2.29767 | 0.495 |
HDL-C, Fasting insulin | 2.55711 | 0.460 |
HDL-C, HOMA-IR | 2.49944 | 0.473 |
Change in body IAF from baseline to 5 years | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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|
|
| |||||
β | P value | β | P value | β | P value | β | P value | |
HDL-C | −12.6953 | <0.001 | −13.5757 | <0.001 | −13.0597 | <0.001 | −13.2910 | <0.001 |
| ||||||||
Age | 0.4800 | <0.001 | 0.4877 | <0.001 | 0.4794 | <0.001 | 0.4664 | <0.001 |
| ||||||||
Female | −4.5793 | 0.2900 | −3.6519 | 0.4080 | −3.4003 | 0.4410 | −3.1102 | 0.4820 |
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Family history of diabetes | −0.5470 | 0.8260 | −0.4996 | 0.8400 | −0.3766 | 0.8790 | −0.6020 | 0.8090 |
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Body mass index | 0.5963 | 0.4120 | 0.6191 | 0.3950 | 0.8393 | 0.2590 | 0.8036 | 0.2840 |
| ||||||||
Baseline IAF | −0.3412 | <0.001 | −0.3437 | <0.001 | −0.3494 | <0.001 | −0.3478 | <0.001 |
| ||||||||
Baseline abdominal SCF | 0.0177 | 0.5120 | 0.0175 | 0.5150 | 0.0146 | 0.5870 | 0.0144 | 0.5960 |
| ||||||||
Baseline thigh SCF | 0.0390 | 0.5100 | 0.0415 | 0.4840 | 0.0266 | 0.6570 | 0.0292 | 0.6270 |
| ||||||||
Change in body weight from baseline to 5 years | 3.9405 | <0.001 | 3.9427 | <0.001 | 3.9803 | <0.001 | 3.9656 | <0.001 |
| ||||||||
Baseline 2-hour OGTT BLG | 1.5661 | 0.0380 | 1.6152 | 0.0330 | 1.5600 | 0.0390 | 1.4709 | 0.0530 |
| ||||||||
HOMA-IR | 0.4007 | 0.6250 | 0.3709 | 0.6510 | 0.2945 | 0.7200 | 0.3152 | 0.7010 |
| ||||||||
Alcohol consumption | 0.1177 | 0.2970 | 0.1145 | 0.3100 | 0.1072 | 0.3570 | ||
| ||||||||
Physical activity | −0.0009 | 0.1600 | −0.0009 | 0.1470 | ||||
| ||||||||
Current smoker | −2.4761 | 0.5050 | ||||||
| ||||||||
R squared | 0.4004 | 0.4022 | 0.4054 | 0.4074 |
Change in body IAF from baseline to 5 years | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
| |||||
β | P value | β | P value | β | P value | β | P value | |
HDL-C | −5.4478 | <0.001 | −5.8256 | <0.001 | −5.6042 | <0.001 | −5.7035 | <0.001 |
| ||||||||
Age | 5.6874 | <0.001 | 5.7798 | <0.001 | 5.6814 | <0.001 | 5.5263 | <0.001 |
| ||||||||
Female | −4.5793 | 0.290 | −3.6519 | 0.408 | −3.4003 | 0.441 | −3.1102 | 0.482 |
| ||||||||
Family history of diabetes | −0.5470 | 0.826 | −0.4996 | 0.840 | −0.3766 | 0.879 | −0.6020 | 0.809 |
| ||||||||
Body mass index | 1.9748 | 0.412 | 2.0505 | 0.395 | 2.7796 | 0.259 | 2.6613 | 0.284 |
| ||||||||
Baseline IAF | −18.3480 | <0.001 | −18.4851 | <0.001 | −18.7874 | <0.001 | −18.7021 | <0.001 |
| ||||||||
Baseline abdominal SCF | 1.3502 | 0.512 | 1.3385 | 0.515 | 1.1189 | 0.587 | 1.1014 | 0.596 |
| ||||||||
Baseline thigh SCF | 1.2272 | 0.510 | 1.3047 | 0.484 | 0.8375 | 0.657 | 0.9188 | 0.627 |
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Change in body weight from baseline to 5 years | 14.0051 | <0.001 | 14.0129 | <0.001 | 14.1464 | <0.001 | 14.0943 | <0.001 |
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Baseline 2-hour OGTT BLG | 7.9810 | 0.038 | 8.2312 | 0.033 | 7.9498 | 0.039 | 7.4957 | 0.053 |
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HOMA-IR | 1.3593 | 0.625 | 1.2584 | 0.651 | 0.9991 | 0.720 | 1.0695 | 0.701 |
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Alcohol consumption | 1.4078 | 0.297 | 1.3693 | 0.310 | 1.2828 | 0.357 | ||
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Physical activity | −1.5779 | 0.160 | −1.6483 | 0.147 | ||||
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Current smoker | −2.4761 | 0.505 | ||||||
| ||||||||
R squared | 0.4004 | 0.4022 | 0.4054 | 0.4074 |
Values are expressed as mean±standard deviation or number (%). OGTT, oral glucose tolerance test; HOMA-IR, homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance; LDL-C, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; HDL-C, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; IAF, intra-abdominal fat; SCF, subcutaneous fat.
IAF, intra-abdominal fat; CI, confidence interval; SCF, subcutaneous fat; OGTT, oral glucose tolerance test; BLG, blood glucose; LDL-C, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; HDL-C, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; HOMA-IR, homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance.
IAF, intra-abdominal fat; HDL-C, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; SCF, subcutaneous fat; LDL-C, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; HOMA-IR, homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance.
IAF, intra-abdominal fat; HDL-C, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; SCF, subcutaneous fat; OGTT, oral glucose tolerance test; BLG, blood glucose; HOMA-IR, homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance.
IAF, intra-abdominal fat; HDL-C, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; SCF, subcutaneous fat; OGTT, oral glucose tolerance test; BLG, blood glucose; HOMA-IR, homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance.